The Crisis of Confidence in Iraqi Banks: Economic Implications and Ways to Restore Public Trust

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The strength of a banking system cannot be measured solely by the number of banks operating within it or the size of their capital. Rather, it should be assessed by the public’s confidence in their ability to safeguard money, honor financial obligations, and provide secure and reliable services. From this perspective, declining confidence among segments of the Iraqi population in both state-owned and private banks, together with reluctance to open bank accounts or deposit savings, represents an economic and institutional challenge that extends far beyond the relationship between customers and banks. Its consequences affect investment, economic growth, and financial stability. Restrictions affecting certain Iraqi banks’ access to US dollar transactions, together with challenges related to international compliance requirements and the prevention of money laundering and terrorist financing, have contributed to uncertainty among citizens, traders, and investors. Financial and managerial weaknesses within some banking institutions have further complicated the situation. When banks experience financial distress or struggle to meet their customers’ needs, concerns about the safety and accessibility of deposits may intensify, encouraging people to keep their money in cash outside the banking system. The core of the problem, therefore, lies not merely in the existence of external restrictions, but also in the ability of Iraq’s banking sector to build public confidence through transparency, sound governance, effective supervision, and meaningful protection of depositors’ rights. First: The Causes of the Crisis of Confidence in Iraqi Banks Several interconnected factors contribute to this crisis. 1. Restrictions and Sanctions Affecting International Financial Transactions Restrictions affecting certain Iraqi banks’ dealings in US dollars have complicated aspects of international transfers and trade financing, raising concerns about their ability to continue operating normally and provide uninterrupted services. As news of these restrictions circulates, public anxiety may extend to other institutions, even when their circumstances differ significantly. It is essential to distinguish between legal sanctions targeting specific entities and regulatory restrictions imposed on banks because of compliance or supervisory concerns. International restrictions should also be considered alongside domestic issues, including the effectiveness of internal controls, transparency, and corporate governance. 2. Weak Governance, Management, and Banking Practices Public confidence deteriorates when information about a bank’s financial condition is unclear, private interests influence lending and investment decisions, or internal controls and risk management are inadequate. Concerns become more serious when depositors believe that access to their money is uncertain or that complaints and claims are handled slowly and without clear procedures. This does not mean that all Iraqi banks suffer from these weaknesses. Rather, it highlights the importance of distinguishing between financially sound, compliant institutions and those requiring substantial restructuring or corrective action. 3. Banking Distress and Inadequate Depositor Protection The financial distress of a bank, or its inability to meet its obligations, can have consequences extending beyond its immediate customers. It may lead citizens to question the safety of the banking sector as a whole. These concerns become more pronounced when reliable information about corrective measures is unavailable or when compensation arrangements and procedures for resolving bank failures are unclear to the public. 4. Preference for Cash and Limited Financial Literacy Many Iraqis have become accustomed to holding their savings outside banks because of previous experiences, social considerations, or limited confidence in available banking services. Inconsistent digital service quality, limited product choices, and perceptions that opening a bank account involves additional costs or administrative burdens also discourage people from using formal banking services. 5. The Limited Developmental Role of Some Banks When a bank offers only a narrow range of services and fails to provide suitable financing for small and medium-sized enterprises or appropriate savings and investment products, customers have fewer reasons to maintain a lasting relationship with it. A bank that creates little practical value for households and businesses will struggle to earn their long-term confidence. Second: The Economic Consequences of Avoiding Bank Accounts and Deposits The decision to keep money outside banks is not merely a personal financial choice; it also has significant economic consequences. First, money held outside the banking system limits banks’ ability to mobilize savings and channel funds toward productive uses. Deposits represent an important source of bank funding, although they do not automatically or entirely translate into loans. Lending capacity also depends on capital adequacy, liquidity, asset quality, regulatory requirements, and borrowers’ creditworthiness. Second, weak financial intermediation limits banks’ ability to finance new businesses and productive expansion. This may increase dependence on self-financing and informal borrowing, which can involve higher costs and additional risks. Third, extensive cash-based transactions make financial flows more difficult to trace, weaken transparency in economic activity, increase the costs of handling money and settling payments, and may create greater opportunities for informal economic activity and financial evasion. Fourth, banks themselves suffer when their stable deposit base contracts. Funding costs may rise, opportunities to expand lending and services may narrow, and liquidity pressures may intensify for institutions already struggling with weak management or an imbalance between their sources and uses of funds. Nevertheless, declining deposits are not the only cause of liquidity problems, and increasing deposits alone cannot guarantee a bank’s financial soundness. Sustainable liquidity requires effective asset and liability management, adequate capital, robust risk controls, and the ability to collect outstanding obligations. Third: Ways to Address the Crisis and Restore Public Confidence Restoring confidence cannot be achieved through a temporary public relations campaign or by simply urging citizens to deposit their money. It requires practical reforms whose results people can observe and evaluate. 1. Strengthening Supervision, Disclosure, and Accountability The Central Bank of Iraq should continue developing risk-based supervision and regularly assessing capital adequacy, asset quality, liquidity, and compliance with international standards. Reliable information about banks’ financial soundness should be disclosed periodically, subject to appropriate safeguards for sensitive information. Regulatory action against non-compliant institutions should be communicated clearly, without exaggeration or ambiguity. Applying consistent and transparent standards to both state-owned and private banks, free from selective enforcement and inappropriate interference, is essential to rebuilding confidence. 2. Protecting Depositors and Clarifying Their Rights Iraq needs a clear and effective framework for deposit protection, supported by a legally established and financially sustainable system of deposit guarantees or compensation. The scope, limits, and eligibility conditions of such protection must be clearly explained. Authorities should avoid making unconditional promises about the recovery of funds that cannot be guaranteed. Effective mechanisms are also needed to receive and resolve depositor complaints promptly. Banks should be required to disclose fees, terms, and restrictions affecting account use, cash withdrawals, and transfers. 3. Addressing Distressed Banks Firmly and Fairly Reform requires that institutions unable to meet regulatory requirements should not be allowed to continue indefinitely without corrective action. Clear procedures for restructuring, mergers, or orderly market exit should be applied on the basis of independent professional assessments, with priority given to protecting depositors and preventing risks from spreading across the banking sector. Shareholders and management must bear the responsibilities established by law. Protecting financial stability must not become a justification for avoiding accountability. 4. Resolving International Banking Challenges The government, the Central Bank, and financial institutions should cooperate with international financial authorities to address the reasons behind restrictions affecting certain banks. This requires stronger compliance systems, effective anti-money-laundering and counter-terrorist-financing controls, improved customer due diligence, identification of beneficial owners, and more rigorous monitoring of transactions and sources of funds. Integration into the international financial system cannot be achieved through political appeals alone. It requires institutions that consistently comply with applicable rules and demonstrate transparent, competent risk management. 5. Improving Digital Services and Reducing Banking Costs Secure and user-friendly banking applications, reliable electronic payment and transfer services, and simplified account-opening procedures can encourage citizens to move gradually from cash toward formal banking. These improvements must be accompanied by stronger cybersecurity, protection of personal information, and prompt responses to technical failures and complaints. Services should also be designed to meet the needs of low-income households, pensioners, and small businesses. Fees must be transparent, and unjustified financial and administrative burdens should be avoided. 6. Channeling Deposits into Productive Finance Confidence will not be sustainable unless citizens can see that their money contributes to economic development and generates legitimate benefits. Banks should therefore expand responsible financing for productive enterprises, develop diverse savings and financing products, improve credit assessment, and reduce excessive dependence on relationship-based lending or traditional collateral alone. Banks that finance production and support businesses capable of creating employment become partners in national development rather than institutions concerned primarily with processing financial transfers. 7. Promoting Financial Literacy and Transparent Communication Government agencies, banks, universities, and the media should cooperate to improve financial literacy. Public education should explain the difference between a licensed bank and a financially distressed institution, as well as the distinction between restrictions affecting certain international transactions and the safety of domestic deposits. Such communication must avoid both unsupported rumors and absolute assurances that cannot be substantiated. Confidence is not built by concealing problems, but by presenting facts clearly and explaining the measures being taken to address them. Fourth: Shared Responsibility and a Al-Mustaqbal That Can Be Reformed Restoring public confidence is not the responsibility of a single institution. The government must support institutional reform. The Central Bank is responsible for supervision, stability, and safeguarding the financial system within its legal mandate. Banks must improve management, transparency, and service quality. Citizens, in turn, are entitled to clear information, fair treatment, and effective mechanisms for protecting their money. Reform of state-owned banks must proceed alongside reform of the private banking sector. The objective should be fair competition, more efficient services, and reduced dependence on cash. Progress must also be measurable through indicators such as growth in active bank accounts, stability of deposits, fewer recurring complaints, improved service quality, greater productive lending, and changes in public confidence measured through independent surveys. Conclusion: Trust Is the Real Capital of Banking The crisis of confidence facing Iraqi banks is not a narrow banking problem. It concerns the future of the national economy and its capacity to mobilize savings, finance investment, and diversify the sources of economic growth. This challenge cannot be resolved by blaming external sanctions alone or asking citizens to deposit their money without credible safeguards and reliable banking practices. A meaningful solution begins with institutional reform, depositor protection, consistent enforcement of the law, greater transparency, better services, and the resolution of international banking challenges. Citizens do not need speeches urging them to trust banks as much as they need practical evidence that they can deposit their money and access it under clear conditions, that their rights are protected, and that the institutions holding their savings are subject to rigorous supervision and genuine accountability. When confidence becomes the outcome of reform rather than a public relations slogan, savings can return to formal banking channels and be transformed from idle cash held outside the financial system into resources that support investment, production, and employment. Only then can Iraq’s banking sector fulfill its role as one of the fundamental pillars of a more stable, efficient, and sustainable national economy